Browser Usage: IE6 and IE9 predictions

For all of nearly last 7 years that I have worked on web applications, IE6 has tormented me and all my colleagues alike. While the client’s expectation in terms of feature richness has multiplied, IE6 continues to be the standard on which the development has to be based!

I have been following browser usage statistics for the last couple of years at gs.statcounter.com. Although predictions can always swing 10-15% either ways, I am still venturing out to predict the changing scenario of IE 6 to IE 9 in the next 6 months in U.S.

  • As per my analysis, IE 6 will fall below 50% by the end of this year and become negligible by March 2012.
  • IE8 and IE9 will be almost level by March 2012.
  • The rate of change could have been much more rapid had the adoption rate for Windows 7 not been so sluggish (and mostly due to budget constraints).
  • Another key point to note is that there is a great chance that overall share of IE could come down from around 44% to around 41.5% in the next 6 months.
Date IE 6.0 IE 7.0 IE 8.0 IE 9.0
avg +/-

0.16

0.54

1.11

-1.26

2011-10

0.78

4.28

25.95

13.67

2011-11

0.62

3.74

24.84

14.93

2011-12

0.47

3.20

23.73

16.19

2012-01

0.31

2.66

22.62

17.45

2012-02

0.15

2.12

21.51

18.71

2012-03

-0.01

1.58

20.40

19.97

Avg +/- denotes average increase or decrease expected.

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